these authors contributed equally
Zhongjie Li, PhD, School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, 31 Bei Ji Ge San Tiao, Beijing, 100730, China, 86 010-65120552;
In resource-limited areas, severe shortages of radiologists contribute to high rates of missed pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) cases when relying solely on conventional chest X-ray (CXR). Although artificial intelligence–powered computer-aided detection (CAD) has proven effective in PTB diagnosis, its real-world performance remains underexplored.
This study aimed to evaluate the real-world diagnostic yield of CAD technology as a triage tool for detecting PTB in primary health care facilities in high-burden areas.
We conducted a retrospective paired-design diagnostic yield study using CXR images collected from 7 county- and 32 township-level health care facilities in Yichang city between 2022 and 2024 year. All images were retrospectively reprocessed with CAD software (JF CXR-1), and the original reports interpreted by radiologists at the time of patient admission were extracted. CAD and radiologist performances were compared using 2 primary evaluation indicators—diagnostic yield among diagnosed cases (DYD) and positive predictive value (PPV). Subgroup analysis (by region, age, sex, health care facility tier, and patient category) and sensitivity analysis were conducted to assess the robustness of the results.
Among 93,319 enrolled study patients, including 273 (0.3%) bacteriologically confirmed PTB cases, CAD demonstrated a substantially higher DYD (229/273, 83.9%) than radiologists (70/273, 25.6%), although the PPV was much lower (1.70% vs 10.31%). This high-sensitivity performance achieved an 85.5% (79,804/93,319) reduction (only 13,515 instead of 93,319 CXRs) in radiologist workload via selective review of CAD-positive images, without missing any radiologist-identified PTB cases. Furthermore, probability scores greater than 0.75 were a key threshold for identifying high-risk patients with PTB, and these patients were prioritized for radiologist review. Subgroup analysis further revealed that CAD outperformed radiologists in identifying PTB cases across all scenarios, despite some heterogeneity. CAD performance was significantly better in township-level medical facilities (DYD: 86.7%; PPV: 2%) than in county-level hospitals (DYD: 62.5%; PPV: 0.6%).
CAD technology is valuable for detecting PTB in primary health care facilities. Combined with a tiered
Received 2025 Aug 27; Revised 2025 Nov 13; Accepted 2025 Nov 13; Collection date 2025.
In 2023, an estimated 10.8 million new cases of tuberculosis (TB) were reported globally, among which 2.6 million went undiagnosed or unreported, contributing to ongoing transmission and high mortality rates [
Chest X-ray (CXR) remains a common screening tool in primary health care facilities due to its ease of implementation, rapidity, and high acceptance [
Artificial intelligence (AI)–assisted computer-aided detection (CAD) tools for CXR represent a promising innovation to enhance TB screening efficiency, diagnostic accuracy, and cost-effectiveness [
This study aimed to evaluate the diagnostic yield of CAD technology as a triage tool for detecting PTB in primary health care facilities in high-burden areas.
Our study was conducted in 3 counties of Yichang city, Hubei province (Yidu, Zigui, and Changyang counties), a region characterized by a high PTB burden, with an overall incidence of PTB of nearly 100 per 100,000 population between 2022 and 2024. This study involved patients aged above 15 years (including outpatients and inpatients) who underwent CXR examinations at health care facilities due to symptomatic presentation. We used a paired diagnostic yield study design where each chest radiograph underwent 2 independent assessments—from an AI-powered CAD system and from clinical radiologists whose interpretations were the original reports from the time of patient presentation, thereby reflecting real-world conditions. To address the issue of multiple CXRs potentially occurring for the same patient during the study period, we established a stratified selection protocol—for non-PTB cases, the initial CXR examination was used and, for PTB cases, the CXR temporally closest to the confirmation date was selected. To reduce temporal misclassification bias between CXR acquisition and TB confirmation, we set a 6-month window period as the validity criterion.
All CXR images were extracted in Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine format from the Picture Archiving and Communication System-Radiology Information System of county- and township-level health care facilities in 3 study counties. The data collection period spanned from January 1, 2022, to December 31, 2024. The system also recorded patient demographics (gender and age) and the original radiology reports, including examination time, report date, the original radiological findings, and the diagnostic conclusions issued by the radiologists at the time of patient care. In this study, a suggestive PTB case was based on the content of the “diagnostic conclusions” field, which contained the radiologist’s ultimate clinical judgment on the CXR. If specific terms related to active PTB (such as “tuberculosis” or “pulmonary tuberculosis”) appeared in this field, the case was classified as “abnormalities suggestive of PTB.”
Data on PTB cases were retrieved from the Tuberculosis Information Management System (TBIMS). TBIMS is a population-based surveillance system that mandates reporting of all PTB cases, and the dataset used in this study spanned from January 1, 2022, to June 30, 2025, and included patient diagnosis type and confirmation date [
For AI-based CXR interpretation, we used the JF CXR-1 software (version 2; JF Healthcare). It is an advanced AI system built on deep learning technology, primarily used for TB detection in CXRs with external validation support [
The following steps were performed on the software:
Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine images were input into the system for preprocessing, which includes conversion to UINT8 format, contrast enhancement via histogram equalization, cropping to 1024×1024 resolution, conversion from single-channel to 3-channel format for model compatibility, and pixel normalization by subtracting the mean value of 128.
Feature maps were extracted through the ResNet34+fpn backbone network. These feature maps then triggered parallel dual-branch processing: branch 1 generates logit maps via a fully connected layer and outputs lesion, localizing heatmaps through a heatmap rendering module. Branch 2 compresses features via a global pooling layer, computes logits through a fully connected layer, and derives disease probability values via the Sigmoid function.
We evaluated diagnostic performance using 2 primary indicators—diagnostic yield among all those diagnosed (DYD) and positive predictive value (PPV). DYD is defined as the proportion of confirmed patients with TB in whom the diagnostic tool (CXR interpreted by CAD or radiologists) successfully identified the disease [
We summarized baseline characteristics of patients and presented categorical variables as frequencies (n) and proportions (%), and compared them using the chi-square test or Fisher exact test. Nonnormally distributed continuous variables were described as median (IQR) and analyzed using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test.
The ability of CAD and radiologists to identify PTB cases was evaluated using bacteriologically confirmed patients with PTB from TBIMS. To explore collaborative workflows between CAD and radiologists, performance was assessed under five distinct strategies: (1) radiologist alone, (2) CAD alone, (3) parallel test strategy (positive if either radiologist or CAD method flagged an abnormality), (4) serial test strategy (positive if radiologist and CAD both flagged an abnormality), and (5) CAD triage strategy, that is, CAD screening followed by radiologist verification (positive CAD results were reviewed by radiologists). For CAD-positive patients, the primary CAD scores were divided into 4 classes according to quartiles. Tests for linear trend between score quartiles and the distribution of patients with PTB (suspected by radiologists or confirmed) were conducted using Cochran-Armitage tests. Subgroup analyses were conducted to evaluate the DYD and PPV of the CAD system across diverse demographic and clinical variables. To assess the factors independently associated with these performance metrics, we constructed two separate multivariable logistic regression models:
1. For DYD, a logistic regression among the 273 confirmed PTB cases where the outcome was test positive (1=yes, 0=no). The odds ratios (OR) would represent the factors affecting the probability of detection, given a patient has PTB.
2. For PPV, a logistic regression among the 13,515 CAD-positive cases where the outcome was confirmed PTB (1=yes, 0=no). The OR would represent the factors affecting the probability of being a true positive, given that a patient was flagged abnormal by the AI.
Sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the robustness of CAD and radiologist performance in identifying PTB cases using CXR under different scenarios: (1) time window validation—assessment of different PTB confirmation intervals (3 mo and 9 mo vs the primary 6 mo window), (2) image selection validation—impact of image selection strategy (using the last CXR examination vs the initial CXR examination for patients without TB), and (3) case definition expansion—inclusion of clinically diagnosed PTB cases, to re-evaluate the performance of CAD and radiologists.
The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College (CAMS&PUMC-IEC-2025‐04). The study retrospectively analyzed deidentified CXR images and PTB data obtained from routine clinical practice. A waiver of informed consent was received from the institutional review board. To protect privacy and confidentiality, all patient data were anonymized at the source, and the analysis was conducted exclusively on aggregated or coded datasets.
From January 2022 to December 2024, a total of 132,159 posteroanterior chest radiographs were collected from 7 county-level hospitals and 32 township health centers across 3 counties (Yidu, Zigui, and Changyang) in Yichang city, China. All images were accompanied by complete radiological reports. By linking PTB case data from the TBIMS, the final study population comprised 93,319 patients (non-PTB cases: n=93,046, 99.7%; bacteriologically confirmed PTB cases: n=273, 0.3%). The study outline is presented in
A total of 93,319 patients (
| Total patients (N=93,319) | Patients without PTB | Confirmed patients with PTB (n=273) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region, n (%) | .001 | |||
| Yidu county | 35,020 | 34,941 (37.6) | 79 (28.9) | |
| Zigui county | 39,153 | 39,036 (42) | 117 (42.9) | |
| Changyang county | 19,146 | 19,069 (20.5) | 77 (28.2) | |
| Age (y), median (IQR) | 60 (50‐70) | 60 (50‐70) | 69 (60‐74) | <.001 |
| Age group (y), n (%) | <.001 | |||
| 15‐44 | 16,600 | 16,586 (17.8) | 14 (5.1) | |
| 45‐64 | 40,571 | 40,489 (43.5) | 82 (30) | |
| 65‐79 | 29,995 | 29,844 (32.1) | 151 (55.3) | |
| ≥80 | 6153 | 6127 (6.6) | 26 (9.5) | |
| Sex, n (%) | <.001 | |||
| Male | 46,827 | 46,634 (50.1) | 193 (70.7) | |
| Female | 46,492 | 46,412 (49.9) | 80 (29.3) | |
| Health care facility tier, n (%) | <.001 | |||
| Township level | 57,182 | 56,941 (61.2) | 241 (88.3) | |
| County level | 36,137 | 36,105 (38.8) | 32 (11.7) | |
| Patient category, n (%) | .70 | |||
| Outpatient | 26,544 | 26,463 (28.4) | 81 (29.7) | |
| Inpatient | 66,775 | 66,583 (71.6) | 192 (70.3) | |
PTB: pulmonary tuberculosis.
Among 93,319 participants, 13,515 cases were identified as suspected PTB by CAD, with a positive rate of 14.5% (13,515/93,319), which significantly exceeded the positive rate of suspected PTB (679/93,319, 0.7%) identified by radiologists. Among the 273 patients with confirmed PTB, CAD achieved DYD of 83.9% (229/273), which was substantially higher than that of radiologists (70/273, 25.6%). CAD captured all 70 PTB cases detected by radiologists, demonstrating a low risk of missed detection. However, the PPV of CAD was only 1.7% (229/13,515), which was much lower than the radiologists’ PPV of 10.3% (70/679;
Strategy 3 required radiologists to interpret all 93,319 CXR images. It achieved a PPV of 1.7% (229/13,515), reflecting a marginal decrease compared to strategy 2 (PPV: 229/13,556, 1.7%). The DYD of strategy 3 was 83.9% (229/273), consistent with strategy 2. Strategy 4 similarly necessitated full interpretation of all CXRs. Its PPV increased to 11% (70/638), slightly exceeding strategy 1 (PPV:
| Strategy | Radiologist workload (chest X-ray reads), n/N (%) | DYD | PPV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93,319/93,319 (100) | 70/273 (25.6) | 70/679 (10.3) | |
| 0/93,319 (0) | 229/273 (83.9) | 229/13,515 (1.7) | |
| 93,319/93,319 (100) | 229/273 (83.9) | 229/13,556 (1.7) | |
| 93,319/93,319 (100) | 70/273 (25.6) | 70/638 (11.0) | |
| 13,515/93,319 (14.5) | ≥25.6% (up to 83.9%) | N/A |
DYD: diagnostic yield among diagnosed.
PPV: positive predictive value.
CAD: computer-aided detection.
Positive if either the radiologist or CAD flagged an abnormality.
Positive if radiologist and CAD both flagged abnormality.
Positive if CAD flagged abnormality further confirmed by radiologist review.
The final PPV or DYD depends on the radiologist’s confirmation of CAD-positive cases. Strategy 5 maintains a minimum system DYD of 25.6% (ie, finding all cases the radiologists originally found) and a potential DYD of 83.9% (if radiologists trusted the AI on all 229 positive cases).
N/A: not applicable.
Among patients with abnormal CAD, each patient’s CAD score was classified into 4 subgroups by quartiles. The distribution of CAD scores was found to be linearly correlated with the proportion of suspected patients with PTB identified by radiologists and confirmed patients with PTB (
| CAD score (classified by quartiles) | CAD-positive patients (n=13,515), n (%) | Suspected PTB cases identified by radiologists | Confirmed PTB cases |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.35<score≤0.44 | 2828 (20.9) | 13 (2) | 6 (2.6) |
| 0.44<score≤0.56 | 2995 (22.2) | 26 (4.1) | 11 (4.8) |
| 0.56<score≤0.75 | 3074 (22.8) | 70 (11) | 23 (10) |
| score>0.75 | 4618 (34.2) | 529 (82.9) | 189 (82.5) |
Tests for linear trend between score quartiles and the distribution of patients with PTB (suspected by radiologists or confirmed) were conducted using Cochran-Armitage tests. The
CAD consistently demonstrated superior DYD compared to radiologists across all evaluated demographic and health care system classification variables (
During temporal window validation, shortening the PTB confirmation window to 3 months slightly increased CAD’s DYD to 86.6% (increased to 86.6% from 83.9%; Table S2 in
This retrospective study evaluated the real-world performance of CAD in PTB detection using CXR interpretation. Among 93,319 patients analyzed from health care facilities, 273 (0.3%) were bacteriologically confirmed as PTB cases within 3 years. The results demonstrated that CAD outperformed radiologists in identifying PTB cases, detecting an additional 159 cases. Compared to
This study observed that CAD demonstrated substantially higher DYD than radiologists in routine clinical practice. This comparison is inherently asymmetric, contrasting a specialized AI algorithm operating under optimal conditions against the daily performance of radiologists working in high-volume, multitasking environments [
The PPV of the CAD system is the most conservative estimate, as the CAD is almost certainly identifying true PTB cases that the system missed. However, excessive reliance on CAD-based diagnoses may potentially contribute to a higher volume of unnecessary follow-up procedures, leading to an inefficient allocation of medical resources. In resource-constrained primary care settings, CAD systems can serve as a triage tool for rapid PTB diagnosis [
We found that the diagnostic yield of CAD demonstrates significant variation across different levels of health care institutions, performing better in township-level facilities than in county-level hospitals. This performance disparity may be explained by several plausible factors related to the distinct patient populations and diagnostic pathways within the local health care ecosystem. We speculate that the reasons could be as follows: township-level facilities, serving as the primary contact point for a large volume of rural patients, may typically encounter cases at more advanced stages. Patients in these settings might tend to seek medical attention only when symptoms become severe and unmistakable, often presenting with more pronounced and characteristic radiographic abnormalities of PTB. These
Previous research has centered on 2 PTB screening models—active screening in high-risk groups (eg, high-burden populations [
The 6-month interval between CXR acquisition and TB confirmation was defined primarily based on frontline physicians’ clinical experience, which indicates that the majority of diagnosable TB cases progress to a confirmable stage within this period. This window aligns with common diagnostic timelines in real-world practice and is methodologically consistent with previous studies (eg, Xin et al [
For CAD-positive cases not clinically diagnosed with PTB, the lack of subsequent verification makes it impossible to differentiate between true CAD false positives and occult TB cases missed by conventional diagnostics. The reported PPV of 1.7% is almost certainly an underestimate. The CAD system is likely identifying true active PTB cases that were missed by the current passive case-finding system, which relies on symptomatic presentation and subsequent bacteriological testing. Therefore, our findings not only demonstrate the high DYD of CAD but also point to a substantial number of potential PTB cases that merit further clinical investigation. This underscores the important role of CAD as a sensitive triage tool capable of uncovering the hidden burden of PTB in the community. Future studies with long-term clinical follow-up or additional diagnostic tests for CAD-positive individuals are needed to ascertain the true PPV.
This study was also limited to a unimodal radiographic input and did not integrate clinical symptom information. Since symptom profiles can influence both radiologists’ interpretations and the output of CAD systems, it would be valuable to evaluate whether diagnostic performance varies between symptomatic and asymptomatic subgroups. Although such a subgroup analysis fell outside the scope of this work, future investigations that incorporate multimodal data could help elucidate the relationship between symptomatic presentation and CAD performance, thereby contributing to the development of more clinically adaptive screening pathways.
CAD dramatically improves the detection of PTB among symptomatic patients presenting to primary health care facilities, while substantially reducing radiologist workload through a selective review strategy focused on CAD-positive images with reference to the probability score. Meanwhile, CAD demonstrates significantly superior performance in township medical facilities compared to county medical facilities, providing validated evidence for implementing tiered diagnosis and treatment models in resource-limited regions.
The authors would like to express their sincere gratitude to the following funders for their support: the China Medical Board, Peking Union Medical College Education Foundation, National Key Research and Development Program of China, and Jiangxi Zhongke Jiufeng Intelligent Medical Technology Co., Ltd. They extend their sincere gratitude to Wei Liu, Jian Li, Ronghua Kuang, and Yong Ge at JF Intelligence Healthcare Co Ltd for their essential technical support and for providing the artificial intelligence algorithms used in this study. The funders had no role in study design, data analysis, interpretation, or the preparation of this manuscript.
artificial intelligence
computer-aided detection
chest X-ray
diagnostic yield among all those diagnosed
odds ratio
positive predictive value
pulmonary tuberculosis
tuberculosis
Tuberculosis Information Management System
Ye Wang (wangye_pumc@163.com), Jianhua Liu (amour_1114@163.com), and Zhongjie Li (lizhongjiecdc@163.com) are co-corresponding authors for this article.