American Journal of Emergency Medicine 94 (2025) 46–49 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect American Journal of Emergency Medicine journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/ajem Performance of the artificial intelligence-based Swiss medical assessment system versus Manchester triage system in the emergency department: A retrospective analysis Gregor Lindner a,b,⁎, Svenja Ravioli a a b Department of Emergency Medicine, Kepler Universitätsklinikum GmbH, Johannes Kepler University, Linz, Austria Department of Emergency Medicine, Inselspital, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 5 March 2025 Received in revised form 7 April 2025 Accepted 10 April 2025 Available online xxxx Keywords: Artificial intelligence Chatbot Emergency Triage a b s t r a c t Background: The emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) offers new opportunities for applications in emergency medicine, including patient triage. This study evaluates the performance of the Swiss Medical Assessment System (SMASS), an AI-based decision-support tool for rapid patient assessment, in comparison with the wellestablished Manchester Triage System (MTS). Methods: In this retrospective analysis, patients aged 18 years or above presenting to the Department of Emergency Medicine at Kepler University Hospital in Linz, Austria, during November and December 2024 with non-traumatic complaints were included. Each patient underwent emergency triage using MTS, conducted by a registered nurse, with SMASS applied in parallel. SMASS had no influence on clinical decision-making. Results: In the study period, 1021 patients were triaged with both MTS and SMASS. The mean patient age was 60 years (SD: 21), and 53 % were women. Of the patients categorized as “orange” by MTS, 19 % were classified as non-urgent by SMASS. Conversely, 28 % of the patients triaged as “green” by MTS were classified as urgent by SMASS. Additionally, 23 % of patients classified as non-urgent by SMASS required hospitalization following emergency department evaluation and treatment. Agreement between SMASS and MTS in triaging emergency patients was low as measured by a Cohen's kappa of 0.167. Conclusions: In this study of patients presenting to a large tertiary-care emergency department, SMASS demonstrated considerable discrepancies in triage classification compared to MTS, with significant rates of both over- and undertriage. Further validation is necessary before integrating AI-based triage tools into routine clinical practice. © 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http:// creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). 1. Introduction Triage is a well-established process in emergency medicine, designed to prioritize patients for treatment based on the acuity and severity of their presenting symptoms or conditions. It is a fundamental process in emergency care, as patient demand often exceeds the available resources, in particular the supply of nurses and physicians [1]. Various triage systems were proposed, many of which demonstrated reasonable validity [2]. Emergency Severity Index (ESI), the Canadian Triage and Acuity Scale (CTAS), and the Manchester Triage System (MTS) are among the most widely used international triage tools [3-5]. These triage systems are algorithm-based, typically relying on ⁎ Corresponding authors at: Dep. of Emergency Medicine Kepler Universitätsklinikum GmbH, Krankenhausstrasse 9, 4020 Linz, Austria. E-mail address: lindner.gregor@gmail.com (G. Lindner). presenting symptoms and vital signs to categorize patient acuity. A recent systematic review found a similar performance for the MTS, ESI, and CTAS [6]. While these systems exhibited high sensitivity in identifying patients at risk of emergency department mortality, they were less effective in predicting the need for intensive care or in-hospital mortality [6]. New technologies, particularly artificial intelligence (AI), hold significant potential for enhancing current triage standards in emergency medicine [7]. AI-assisted systems are able to integrate a much larger volume of data to optimize triage sensitivity. Initial applications of AI in emergency triage have shown promising results, particularly in the assessment of neurological patients [8]. A recent study comparing traditional nurse-based triage to a large language model (LLM)-based generative AI model found no significant difference in triage accuracy, but AI-based triage demonstrated lower rates of undertriage [9]. However, there remains a strong need for further research comparing innovative AI-driven triage systems to established traditional methods. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ajem.2025.04.023 0735-6757/© 2025 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). G. Lindner and S. Ravioli American Journal of Emergency Medicine 94 (2025) 46–49 Of the 196 patients categorized as “orange” by MTS, 37 (19 %) were classified as “non-urgent” by SMASS. Conversely, of the 341 patients triaged as “green” by MTS, 95 (28 %) were deemed “urgent” by SMASS. Additionally, two (13 %) of the 15 patients categorized as “blue” by MTS were classified as “urgent” by SMASS. In terms of agreement between triage of emergency patients using SMASS versus MTS Cohen's kappa was 0.167 (SE 0.021, 95 % CI: 0.125–0.208). In differentiating cases as being “acute” or “non-acute” SMASS showed a sensitivity of 62 % and a specificity of 73 % with a positive predictive value of 81 % and a negative predictive value of 50 %. Among the 515 patients identified as non-urgent by SMASS, 119 (23 %) required hospitalization after emergency department evaluation and treatment. A Sankey diagram illustrating the results of MTS and SMASS triage for all 1021 patients is provided in Fig. 1. This study aimed to compare patient triage outcomes at a large tertiary care emergency department using the Swiss Medical Assessment System (SMASS) alongside the conventional MTS. 2. Methods SMASS is a software tool designed to assist healthcare professionals (SMASS Professional) and laypersons (SMASS Pathfinder) in rapidly assessing medical conditions and recommending appropriate treatment pathways (https://in4medicine.ch/files/Bilder/Allgemein/SMASS_Info. pdf). It comprises an editor, knowledge databases, and a runtime environment. The software is cloud-based and certified as a medical device under European Union standards. Further details on SMASS can be found on the developer's website: https://in4medicine.ch/smass-107. html. In this retrospective analysis, patients aged 18 years or above presenting to the Department of Emergency Medicine at Kepler University Hospital in Linz, Austria, were eligible. Patients with suspected stroke, trauma-related complaints and patients accompanied by pre-hospital emergency medicine physicians were excluded. SMASS was evaluated over a limited period in November and December 2024 to assess its usability among healthcare professionals and potential clinical applications. All patients underwent initial emergency triage by a registered nurse trained in MTS. Patients who simultaneously underwent triage with SMASS were included in this study. Data was collected in a pseudonymized format. Collected data included age, sex, reason for emergency department admission, MTS and SMASS triage results, length of stay, and in-hospital mortality. Data are presented as mean and standard deviation or median and interquartile range, as appropriate. In order to assess agreement between triage by SMASS compared to MTS Cohen's kappa was calculated. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were calculated defining MTS red, orange and yellow as “acute” and MTS green and blue as “non-acute” while SMASS categories “immediate medical treatment” and “emergency” as “acute” and “medical treatment today” and “medical treatment non-urgent” as “non-acute”. All statistics were calculated using JASP, version 0.19.3. The study was approved by the local ethics committee, the “Ethikkommission der Johannes Kepler Universität,” and the requirement for individual patient consent was waived due to the retrospective design of the study (protocol number 1385/2024). 4. Discussion This study including 1021 emergency department patients admitted at a large university hospital, found that SMASS triage resulted in significant rates of both over- and undertriage compared to the wellestablished MTS. Several triage systems have been developed for emergency patients, each incorporating different variables such as vital signs, expected resource utilization, or presenting symptoms. While established triage systems perform similarly in terms of sensitivity [2,6], mistriage remains a concern for both adult and pediatric populations [3,10-12]. Various approaches have been explored to minimize mistriage and enhance patient safety [13,14]. The integration of AI into emergency triage appears promising, with initial pilot studies showing encouraging results [9,15,16]. While AI-assisted triage may enable a faster and more reliable triage process, this study underlines the necessity of rigorous real-world testing for usability, reproducibility, and patient safety. Notably, 19 % of patients classified as “orange” by MTS - requiring physician evaluation within 10 min - were categorized as “non-urgent” by SMASS, posing a potential safety risk. Additionally, 23 % of patients deemed “non-urgent” by SMASS required hospitalization, suggesting a significant discrepancy in triage result. Conversely, nearly one-third of patients categorized as “green” or “blue” by MTS were classified as urgent by SMASS. This indicates that SMASS failed on both ends of the spectrum: On the one hand patients with rather minor conditions were apparently over-triaged while others with potentially dangerous presentations were undertriaged. Moreover, agreement between the two triage systems was low as indicated by Cohen's kappa. While overall performance of SMASS appeared promising, the tool apparently needs training in the acute care setting based on real patient data from emergency department patients in order to decrease the relevantly high numbers of relevant over- and undertriage of patients seen in the current study. This is crucial if SMASS should be used for triage of emergency medicine patients. In general. It should be part of training of every new triage algorithm being AI-based or not to test and train the model on a large number of real emergency medicine cases including the full variety of the field ranging from rather minor cases to lifethreatening conditions. This is the case in every day emergency medicine and thus needs to be considered, In order to achieve this emergency physicians and nursing staff should be cooperated with in the development of these models in order to achieve optimal results. One possible explanation of the meager results of SMASS compared to the “gold-standard” MTS might be that the inclusion of vital signs is missing in the SMASS model. This could potentially help in differentiating patients. However, whether the “mistriage” of patients by SMASS compared to MTS is systematic or random cannot be answered by the current data. In addition, further research will be needed in order to assess whether SMASS is prone to over- or undertriage in certain patient groups. 3. Results Between November 28 and December 8, 2024, 1021 patients presenting to the Department of Emergency Medicine at Kepler University Hospital were triaged with both MTS and SMASS. Of all patients triaged with both systems, 540 (53 %) were women. The mean patient age was 60 years (SD: 21). The most common presenting symptom/diagnosis categories were as follows: cardiology (158; 15 %), musculoskeletal (123; 12 %), neurology (122; 12 %), respiratory (122; 12 %), dermatology (102; 10 %), general and visceral surgery (96; 9 %), gastroenterology (81; 8 %), nonspecific (80; 8 %), and urology/nephrology (74, 7 %). A total of 731 (72 %) patients were treated as outpatients, while 290 (28 %) were admitted as inpatients. The median length of stay for inpatients was four days (IQR: 2–8). In-hospital mortality occurred in 15 (1 %) patients. The MTS triage distribution was as follows: two patients (0.2 %) were classified as “red”, 196 (19 %) as “orange”, 467 (46 %) as “yellow”, 341 (33 %) as “green” and 15 (1 %) as “blue”. The SMASS triage distribution was as follows: 385 (38 %) patients were categorized as requiring “immediate medical treatment”, 121 (12 %) as “emergency”, 331 (32 %) as requiring “medical treatment today” and 184 (18 %) as “medical treatment non-urgent”. 47 G. Lindner and S. Ravioli American Journal of Emergency Medicine 94 (2025) 46–49 Fig. 1. Results of MTS and SMASS triage for 1′021 emergency medicine patients. The diagram shows relevant over- and under-triage of patients by SMASS compared to the gold-standard of MTS. Detailed numbers are given in the text. (For interpretation of the references to colour in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the web version of this article.) Although well-established triage systems such as MTS, ESI, and CTAS have recognized limitations, they remain the gold standard for emergency triage, offering high reliability for identifying patients at risk of rapid deterioration. New triage systems need to be benchmarked against these established methods to ensure accuracy and patient safety. The present study has several limitations: Firstly, due to its retrospective design data quality is somehow limited. 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Addition of the clinical frailty scale to triage tools and early warning scores improves mortality prognostication at 30 days: a prospective observational multicenter study. J Am Coll Emerg Phys Open. 2024;5:e13244. 5. Conclusion This study compared MTS and SMASS triage outcomes in emergency patients and found substantial discrepancies, with a high rate of overand undertriage using SMASS. These findings highlight the importance of thorough validation before implementing new triage technologies to ensure patient safety. Declaration of generative AI in scientific writing None. CRediT authorship contribution statement Gregor Lindner: Writing – review & editing, Writing – original draft, Supervision, Methodology, Investigation, Formal analysis, Data curation, Conceptualization. Svenja Ravioli: Writing – review & editing, Writing – original draft, Methodology, Investigation, Conceptualization. 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